GMTR Mock Draft Analysis: Round 3
Posted by Erik on September 21, 2008
Ok now managers’ strategies are becoming a bit clearer, or not. The third and fourth rounds should round out the cores of their fantasy teams.
|26||3-2||2nd Round Reach||Jose Calderon||PG|
|27||3-3||Jeff’s Jawai-nots||Tim Duncan||PF/C|
|28||3-4||REAL Batman||Jason Kidd||PG|
|32||3-8||OKC Thunder||Brandon Roy||PG/SG|
|33||3-9||Sexy Time||Joe Johnson||PG/SG|
|34||3-10||SA Spurscasters||Dwight Howard||C|
|35||3-11||Points in the Paint||Rudy Gay||SF|
Pick 3-1: Rashard Lewis – After “botching up” his Chris Paul 1st round pick with a Bynum 2nd round reach, Epicte bounces back with a solid choice for the 3rd round. I can’t think of anything wrong with taking Rashard at this stage in the draft. He’s been consistent throughout the last few years and is my first choice among the guys who pour on the 3s. His low turnovers actually complement Chris Paul’s efficiency in that department.
Pick 3-2: Jose Calderon – I must admit that I’m a bit torn about seeing Jose Calderon this early in the draft. The conservative part of me says its too early, while the speculative-aggressive side of me goes “Sweet!”. Taking this pick in the context of what has transpired so far in the draft, the Calderon “snatch and grab” move isn’t too bad. All the other top tier PGs “have left the building” and by all indications surrounding Calderon’s expected upside, 2nd Round Reach may not get another shot at him in the 4th round. He wanted a solid PG to go with Amare and David West and this WAS the round to get him.
Pick 3-3: Tim Duncan – I would have preferred to see Dwight Howard get picked to round out the monster team that’s being anchored by LBJ and Nash, but Timmy-D isn’t so bad a C option to go with those two either. I like Jeff’s team so far. I’m a fan. I’m actually excited to see this team develop.
Pick 3-4: Jason Kidd – You can pretty much just rewind the “train of logic” spiel I ran for Jose Calderon and replay it here. There would be one major significant difference though. I have Calderon on my upside list, torn thigh and all; while J-Kidd’s just picked up residence in my “Aging and on the decline” list. REAL Batman still probably considers Kidd to be at least on the lower end of the TOP tier guards. I, on the hand, rate him lower. It’s a difference in opinion. Plain and simple. I feel some good value players have been painfully passed up to make this Kidd pick. I would have liked to see Pau Gasol, Kevin Martin, Brandon Roy, or Rudy Gay get picked to complement his Kobe-Granger tandem; all of whom are much better value picks than Kidd in my book.
Pick 3-5: Rasheed Wallace – A bit early for this aging guy in a team that wants to get on the rebuilding bandwagon. Yes, I do admit he goes with the “Punt the points” strat, but now you’ve got a guy who’s production is expected to go nowhere but down. My preferred alternative to this Sheed pick would have been Atawn Jamison. Yeah I know he scores! So sue him! But he would have added a three point shooting dimension to the Marion-Camby duo while improving boards and steals and still preserving your low TOs.
Pick 3-6: Kevin Martin – I’m a biased fantasy fan of Kev-Mart so I’m already shocked to see him fall this far late into the draft as it is. People are excited for players like Danny Granger and Rudy Gay because they’re stars in rebuilding teams, well Kevin’s got the better experience and track record and Sacramento’s going to be carried on his shoulders for the duration of the regular season. He’s got no real drawbacks fantasywise and he’s simply a stud in the FT% cat like you wouldn’t believe. Nice pick.
Pick 3-7: Antawn Jamison – Whether intentionally or unconsciously GMTR landed a “hedge pick” for his second round choice of Caron Butler. I guess Nels’ fantasy team will see its ups and downs along with the Washington Wizards’ performances this year. Antawn’s a solid choice in the third round for almost any team, but GMTR’s going to get the most benefit from him as he off sets the variance in his Wizards players nightly production.
Pick 3-8: Brandon Roy – He’s the main man over at Portland and due for that “third year bump” in his stats. A nice complement to Dirk, but it seems the Thunder will be needing much more from him especially now that his 2nd pick, Gilbert Arenas will be out longer than expected. Roy’s not a bad pick at all, but we’ll have to stay tuned and see what direction the Thunder wants go with its Dirk-Brandon core.
Pick 3-9: Joe Johnson – After JJ displayed last season that he’s back to his 82-game, combo guard stat scorching ways; I knew he’d be a prime target for the 3rd round. KG-Chauncey-JJ looks like a pretty decent start for a team so far.
Pick 3-10: Dwight Howard – He’s a solid choice to solidify and concretise Josh Smith’s big man stat contributions. SA Spurscasters is now sporting a front court that has taken the lead in this draft with 22 RPG and 5 BPG between his two young stallions, and that’s a tough act to follow. Neither Josh nor Baron are known for impeccable their FT% so Dwight doesn’t really go against the flow, but merely cements the team’s commitment to tank that cat. I like seeing Dwight on this team. Not a bad choice at all.
Pick 3-11: Rudy Gay – My pick. Here’s a misstep on my part. I wanted Rudy to be my segue pick into my Big Man stat contributors. I made this pick thinking Pau Gasol would fall into my lap in the fourth because I was metagaming (a bit too overconfidently) and thinking that Alpha-T, who led off with 2 PF/C’s, would want some PG or SG numbers and pick accordingly. I thought Rudy would be a more favored target by my neighbor and wanted him locked in. As you can see I was wrong. 😦 Well sour graping aside, I really like this Gay guy from Memphis! Not what you’re thinking, I mean it in the fantasy sense – ok that didn’t sound much better than it should have. Seriously, what’s not to like? He’s a multi-cat contributor who’s the main man at Memphis and entering into the “magical” 3rd season. With all of his upside this season, how can I be righteously disappointed about this choice?
Pick 3-12: Pau Gasol – As I honestly admitted, I DID NOT see this one coming. Alpha-T barks off in the Draft Board that this was a value pick and that he simply couldn’t allow such talent to slip through his fingers. Hmm… Maybe I should have had this train of thought. His choice of Pau in the 3rd ends up more than just a value pick for his fantasy team. He locks down boards and field goal % while improving on Carlos Boozer’s shot blocking deficit. Mean big man strategy right here folks. Let’s see how his team shapes up. Stay tuned for round 4!