Points in the Paint

Fantasy Basketball Opinions, Strategy & Tips

Is David Lee A Biedrins-lite?

Posted by Erik on December 3, 2008

Image c/o NBA.com

David Lee’s 37-point (55.2 FG%) , 21 rebound performance last November 29th against the against the NY Knicks has now begged the question:

“Is this the begining of something great or was it just a fluke of nature that occurs only when two basketball teams play the sport with reckless abandon and wanton disregard for defense?”

Somehow, a part of me sees both scenarios as possible and truthful at the same time. I believe that the moves the New York Knicks have made have simply opened the floodgates for David Lee to explode this season. This white boy, known primarily for his hustle and spunk has had a consistent cult following in fantasy basketball circles over the last few years. But it’s only now that his fans, true and cult alike, can taste his juicy fantasy season-to-come (pulp bits and all!).

He’s recently followed up his monster game with a very respectable 19-point (7-11 from the field and 5-5 from the stripe), 12 rebound game against the Portland Trailblazers.

At this point in the game, one can’t help but compare David to another white big man on a team that  generally doesn’t focus on defense and is choc-full of guards and chuckers: Andris Biedrins of the Golden State Warriors.

Andris started out the season strong but has now tapered off a bit as of late. As far as the season goes he is averaging 15.7 PPG; 12.4 RPG; 2.1 APG; 1.2 SPG; 1.5 BPG; 54.6 FG%; 61.1 FT%; while only committing 2.2 TOs per game.

David is slowly catching up to those numbers as he was initially slowed down by an injury early in the season and had to share the paint with Zach Randolph – now with the LA Clippers. He is currently averaging 14.1 PPG; 9.1 RPG; 1.9 APG; 0.9 SPG; 0.3 BPG; 54.7 FG%; 67.2 FT%; while only committing 2.0 TOs per game.

Andris has the upper hand when it comes to the ball swatting department, but David is currently riding the momentum of a recent statistical upswing. David also has the additional gravy of being flexible enough to be played in both forward positions aside from center in Yahoo!, making him SF/PF/C eligible in that game.

I don’t consider it to be too much a stretch of the imagination to see these two centers having similar fantasy values by the season’s end. I’ll call it with Andris Biedrins as finish off with a slight edge over David but not by a landslide.

Buy HIGH: I would not normally recommend such a move in fantasy, but I feel we’re just seeing the tip of the iceberg in terms of what David Lee will be capable of producing over the course of this NBA season. Just try not to get over zealous and give up your Antawn Jamisons just yet. He’s going to be great but doesn’t appear to primed to finish in the Top 10. He can, however, throw up an alley-oop to himself! 🙂

HAIER Play of the Day

There are no true predators for his future playing time at the center position in New York. Eddy Curry, Jerome James and Malik Rose simply won’t cut it coach Mike D’Antoni’s run and gun style.

Expect David to get loads of playing time and lots of opportunities to grab those rebounds and follow-up those missed shots to get some high percentage put backs.


4 Responses to “Is David Lee A Biedrins-lite?”

  1. […] Is David Lee A Biedrins-lite? « Points in the Paint […]

  2. Brendan K. said

    Stats posted against the Warriors don’t count. I’m also highly skeptical of Lee’s ability to post defensive stats. He’s a short 6’9″ and doesn’t have the length or athleticism to become a regular shotblocker the way Biedrins does. He’s at best an efficient 17 ppg guy who might average 10 boards and a steal per game. Definitely a fantasy guy, but nothing near Biedrins’ upside{

  3. Erik said

    Close enough points, boards, and percentages; less the blocks – I agree.
    Biedrins-lite or poor man’s Biedrins if you will. 🙂

  4. Dowjones said

    If he can develop a reliable 15 footer or something to space the floor…i’m sure he can reach 20 10 and a steal…more like boozer lite? xD

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