Points in the Paint

Fantasy Basketball Opinions, Strategy & Tips

Posts Tagged ‘Dwyane Wade’

NBASE Strategy

Posted by Erik on December 18, 2008

Well this is the first year I’ve tried the NBA Stock Exchange (NBASE for short) over at NBA.COM.

It’s actually quite entertaining and a lot of  fun.

I don’t need to fret over not being able to have drafted the likes of LeBron, Paul, and Wade. I can pretty much own anyone I want or like, well as long as I have the NBASE dollars to spend on them, that is.

As most people who are in Yahoo leagues with me probably already know, I enjoy mixing things up when it comes to my teams. Whether it’s through free agent pick ups or through trades. I like playing a balancing act of sorts. Give a little here to gain a little there… This habit or preference of mine has both worked out for me and at times burned me in the past. And because of my proclivity for variety, I feel that the flexibility that NBASE provides in terms of ease of dropping (selling) and picking up (buying) players, is something that’s right up my alley.

I am currently 7th out of 44 in the League the people at StinkyTee.com invited me to join. At this point, I do not consider myself as an NBASE-expert by any close definition of the term thus far. On the other hand, I do feel pretty proud of my position in that league considering that this is my first crack at the game.

Here’s what I’ve learned so far in the couple of months I’ve been playing the game.

  1.  Have some roster mainstay “blue chips” for their consistent fantasy point contributions. About 3-4 guys seems good. For a time, I had Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh as my anchors. I recently did some tweaking and now I am anchored on Dirk Nowitzki, Chris Paul and Kevin Garnett.
  2. With the rest of your roster spots, micro-manage your team and get the most of hot streaks and favorable weekly schedules. 
  3. Slowly but surely try to make some money every now and then. Then you can upgrade your guys to more consistent guys as the season progresses. I feel this is the best way to maximize the trading mechanics and system of the game. 
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Dirkie-poo Takes Me to #1

Posted by Erik on December 2, 2008

Dirkie-poo?” Yeah, we’re close like that. Well in a fantasy basketball kind of way…

I’ve been a big fan of 7-footers who can shoot treys like guards. Yes, Andrea Bargnani’s growing on me with every Raptor game that rolls on by.

Back to Dirk.

I love how he’s such a quietly underrated multi-cat kind of guy. Fine, he isn’t as donkalicious like say Dwyane Wade or LeBron James or Chris Paul, but man can he fill up those cats nicely! He blows away opponents on the FT% cat among others and he’s a fantastic big man core player for small ball – one of the few. I have him at number five on my recently updated Top 72 players for Head to Head Page.

I recently reached the top spot over at the 20-man Give Me The Monster League of Give  Me The Rock, with a sweet record of 27-16-2. I’m only a game ahead of like 4 other teams so this moment might be short lived. So I plan to savor it as long as I can milk it. 🙂

It’s nice to beam with pride about this league as I am skimming the scum, close to the bottom in the GMTR Reader’s League. Scraping victories only against injury-ridden teams. – but that rant is for another post.

I owe my success to my first round pick, Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas Mavericks, PF).

I don’t know exactly happened to the post I had on queue that highlighted my pride on a team-well-drafted for the Monster League. Oh well, now seems like a more auspicious time anyway.

I was 5th to pick and chose him over the likes of Dwyane Wade (yeah, I didn’t see this season coming either) and Elton Brand, KG, Matrix – thank goodness! Anyway, in a nutshell, here’s how my draft went.

  1. Dirk Nowitzki  PF (5th)
  2. Paul Pierce SG/SF (36th)
  3. Hedo Turkoglu SG/SF (45th)
  4. T.J. Ford PG (76th)
  5. Al Harrington PF/C (85th)
  6. Ricky Davis SG/SF (116th)
  7. Luke Ridnour PG (126th)
  8. Daniel Gibson SG (156th)
  9. Linas Kleiza SG/SF (165th)
  10. Chris Quinn PG/SG (196th)

Of course, I wouldn’t be hitting the top of the heap on that draft alone. Over the course of the first month I made a few moves here and there. The most recent was to burn my waiver position to pick up Raja Bell who was thrown to the wires by another team. Raja is gold among trash in the pool, especially in a 20-man league. Believe you me! I’m now extra glad I didn’t throw away Al Harrington to the wires during the heat of his retarded tantrum over at GSW.

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Posted in Draft Analysis, Fantasy Basketball, Rave, Strategy, Upside | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Bosh Makes Top 5 for Head to Head

Posted by Erik on December 1, 2008

Pretty much a month has now come and gone. The season’s a month older and things are a bit clearer as to the impact players have in head to head matchups.

I’ve updated my Top 72 players for Head to Head. Remember that it’s based on 9 categories, so turnovers are counted against players.

Chris Bosh has been a real pleasant surprise for his fantasy owners this year. He’s fourth on that list. He’s also 4th on Give Me The Rock’s player rater. So the numbers really don’t lie.

He’s now comparable to – do I dare say it – Amare Stoudemire. What Chris lacks in the “D” department he makes up for in consistency and percentages impact. He’s having a great fantasy year so far. He’s averaging 27.7 PPG at 55 FG%; shooting at 82.5% from the line at 9.5 attempts a night; 10.5 RPG; 1.1 BPG; 0.6 SPG; 2.3 APG; and only 2.5 TOs per game.

He’s really reaping the benefits of having Jermaine O’Neal join him in the Raptors front court (at least when J-O’s managed to stay healthy enough to be there) and let us not forget that he’s got an awesomely efficient passing-PG in Jose Calderon dropping those dimes for him night in and night out.

The rest of the Top 5 are:

  1. Chris Paul (NOR, PG)
  2. LeBron James (CLE, SF)
  3. Dwyane Wade (MIA, PG/SG)
  4. Chris Bosh (TOR, PF/C)
  5. Dirk Nowitzki (DAL, PF)

There are a lot of guards in the rankings, so it looks like small ball is the way to in head to head. I’m currently in the process of revamping one of my big ball teams into a small ball unit via trades and pick ups. I will do a post on it as soon as it has completed its transformation.

I will update my rankings by position soon. So stay tuned.

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Pick-ups From The Pool

Posted by Erik on November 16, 2008

Aaron Brooks (Houston Rockets) – It appears that Aaron’s game is more easily adaptable to Rick Adelman’s system than that of Rafer Alston’s. He’s been productive off the bench. When he did get a chance to start thanks to Rafer’s suspension, he immediately created some fantasy waves. He’s a combo guard so don’t expect him to drop too many dimes. The good thing is that a combo guard is what Houston actually needs to fill its PG slot, since the offense runs through Tracy McGrady and Ron Artest. Rafer Alston’s numbers reflect that he’s lost within the system so far; looking like he doesn’t know exactly where to contribute. For Aaron it’s pretty clear; he’s there to move around while the motion offense is being executed and be at the right place and at the right time to receive the kick out pass from the inside and chuck the ball. Keep an eye on him as he may steadily eat into Rafer’s minutes and maybe even his starting role. He’s had a streak of 3 solid games thus far so he’ll definitely be on other people’s radar as well.

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (Milwuakee Bucks) – Yes I had to look up how his name is spelled; and no, I can’t pronounce it. Fine, I CAN pronounce “Richard”. From the get go he showed flashes of brilliance off the bench and produced some good numbers everytime Charlie Villanueva got into early foul trouble. Now that Charlie is out for a bit with hamstring strain, Luc has slid into the Bucks’ starting PF spot. He is doing a good job thus far. I was cheering for CV to do well this season, but unfortunately he will now get officially stamped with the injury prone label. As a starter in 2 games so far, Luc’s averaging 15 points and 12 boards while chipping in half a block and half a steal per game. Not bad for a replacement PF. He’s probably off the wires in most deeper leagues, but I had to mention him on this list because I would also recommend that people take a serious look at him as a pick up in smaller leagues as well.

Chris Quinn (Miami Heat) – I was high on him this pre season and an injury derailed his upside for a bit. Now that he’s healty, he should steadily challenge rookie Mario Chalmers for more and more playing time. The Heat coaching staff have to start balancing Mario’s on-the-court education with the team’s desire to get some wins. Chris is more reliable and is a good combo guard to go with Dwyane Wade. Since the offense courses through Dwyane, Chris should simply bring down the ball, hand it to the superstar and be on stand by for those open 3-point opportunities as Dwyane may look to drop him the ball as the defense collapses on him when he drives to the hoop. The more inconsistent Chalmers remains, the better Quinn’s chances are for increased minutes and fantasy value. Need 3’s? Well Chris is this year’s new Boobie Gibson or better.

Brook Lopez (New Jersey Nets) – Now that the shadow of starting center, Josh Boone is away on sick leave through a bone contusion injury; you can look to Brook to log in some serious minutes at the starting 5 spot. He is a rookie and he will turn the ball over and get into foul trouble often, but he does have solid fundamentals and an effective post up game. I’m sure Vince Carter and Devin Harris can appreciate all the help they can get; and no Yi Jianlian’s roller coaster performances aren’t enough to cut it. In his first start he logged in 34 minutes of PT and contributed 25 points, 9 boards, 4 blocks and 2 steals with NO turnovers.

George Hill (San Antonio Spurs) – People expected much from Roger Mason, when news broke that Tony Parker would be gone for a long time. Unfortuantely he’s been shooting poorly and the Spurs and Tm Duncan had to look elsewhere for help. In comes, George. He found his shot and his place in the Spurs’ pockmarked offense to contribute 17 points, 6 boards, 5 assists, 1 trey and no turnovers in his last game as a starter. Keep an eye on him to see if he can repeat such a performance on a nightly basis.

Anthony Morrow (Golden State Warriors) – Who? Yeah, that’s exactly what I said too. In Nellie’s failed attempts to make useful point guards out of Demarcus Nelson and C.J. Watson, he finally stumbled on Anthony Morrow. Who? Stop that! Yes he is a “nobody” who came from nowhere to suddenly post a 37-11, 4 trey line – at a good percentage to boot. If you’re in a regular sized league, keep an eye on him. If you’re in a deep league, grab him NOW!

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Underwhelming Beginnings and Early Slumps

Posted by Erik on November 16, 2008

Sorry guys. I know it has been awhile. I’m having a crap of a time trying to juggle blogging and work and home life lately.

It’s really frustrating. I miss blogging… a lot. Hopefully this week will give me some openings to get some extra blog time.

Anyway, I’ve had this one on queue for some time because I wanted enough games to pass in order to accurately claim that these players’ starts are truly underwhelming. As each game rolled on, however, some guys flirted with being on this list while others left it. This isn’t a “Buy Low” kind of list per se. Well it can be if you feel the stars are properly aligned for these guys to bounce back and strong. It’s simply a list of some  players that I had expected to play at a certain level but are not quite living up to my expectations.  Here we go…

The MATRIX Unplugged

Shawn Marion (Heat) – I suppose it’s finally official; the Matrix is no longer the stud who used to drop numbers all over the stat sheet at an efficient clip that he used to be. Ironically, his health reliability has also taken a hit as well. Based on the 7 games he’s played in, Shawn he has managed to show that he does have some “D” left in him but his boards, points, treys, and gawd-awful FG% have taken hits. His feild goal percentage is a full 8.5 points down, while his FT% is 10.2 points down from the Phoenix Marion we once knew, loved, and drafted early in the first round. He just doesn’t get the same open looks he used to get when Nash was feeding him the ball on the break. It may take some time for him to learn how to work well with Dwyane Wade, but regardless of when and how he jels with the rest of the Miami Heat; he will still end up closer to a 2nd rounder’s value as opposed to a Top 10 pick.

Parallel Peaks and Valleys

Speaking of the team and teammates Shawn Marion left behind, Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire (Suns) aren’t really making the kind of fantasy noise people were expecting them to make out of the gate.

Steve Nash has had a sluggish start so far, putting together a string of sub par games as of late. In the 9 games he’s played to date, Steve’s managed to drop his points (down 4.6 PPG), FG (down 5%), assists (down 3.7). and treys (down 0.8). Is his slump caused by the loss of former coach Mike D’Antoni? Is it his age (34)? Is it a combination of both? Is it global warming? Is it going to get better? For God’s sakes, man! Wake up, Steve!

Amare Stoudemire did start out strong and even got a Monster of a game under his belt. He’s not exactly part of the list. Recently, however, Amare’s been missing the effectiveness and efficiency of his PG’s game and assists. He’s had a string of 3 poor games. Here’s his line for the last 3 games, 13.7 PPG at a horrible 40.4 FG%; 6.7 RPG and 3.7 TOs/G. Let’s hope this is just a slump and that he isn’t truly dependent on Steve Nash’s quality performances.

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GMTR Mock Draft Analysis: Round 1

Posted by Erik on September 18, 2008

I got the “GO Signal” from Nels at GMTR do a draft analysis of the ongoing mock draft. I will do coverage and commentary of the draft on a round by round basis. That being said, I must say that I’m proud to be part of the 12 fantasy-heads chosen to take part in the draft. This mock draft gives me some good draft analysis material, which is way better than what I would have ended up getting from your garden variety public league players.

To my co-drafters: You guys have my respect as we all passed Nels’ and Patrick’s criteria to participate. This draft coverage is MY take and opinions on the picks. If I disagree with your choice, don’t feel offended. Just consider it a difference in opinion. 🙂

ROUND 1

Pick Team Player Position
1-1 Epicte Chris Paul PG
1-2 2nd Round Reach Amare Stoudemire PF/C
1-3 Jeff’s Duncanfaces LeBron James SF
1-4 REAL Batman (sean) Kobe Bryant SG
1-5 Bucko Shawn Marion PF
1-6 Doneycat Dwyane Wade PG/SG
1-7 GiveMeTheRock Elton Brand PF/C
1-8 OKC Colon Thunder Dirk Nowitzki PF
1-9 Sexy Time Kevin Garnett PF
1-10 SA Spurscasters Josh Smith SF/PF
1-11 Points in the Paint Allen Iverson PG/SG
1-12 Alpha_Terrance Carlos Boozer PF/C

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Draft Strategy: Pre-Ranking Your Guys

Posted by Erik on September 12, 2008

I enjoyed  GMTR’s Draft Tip #6: Queue It Up. So I decided to pick up the ball and run with it. Thanks for the dish guys. Let’s see if I can drive to the hoop and score some points in the paint with it.

I wanted to write something for the new/rookie Fantasy Basketball players…

So you may have heard from around the net or from your buddies that they either don’t like Yahoo’s O-Rankings or at least don’t follow it blindly. So you want to be a smart fantasy player and decide to Pre-Rank the NBA players before the draft day.

Here’s a list of 20 (and ONE Bonus) questions  that you can ask yourself to help you with that task.

  1. Do you think Kobe’s decision NOT to undergo surgery on his pinkie will affect his fantasy performance this year?
  2. Was Dwyane Wade’s Olympic performance enough to convince you that he’s physically ready to return to TOP 10 form?
  3. Will Dallas’ new up-tempo offense orientation be good for Dirk’s already consistent stats?
  4. Do you see Elton Brand returning to his old 20-10-2 ways? Will playing in the 76ers affect the said production?
  5. How much of the old Phoenix-Shawn Marion do you expect to see in a potentially full season with the Heat?
  6. Is Gilbert Arenas healthy enough to contribute sick fantasy numbers for your team this year… and for how many games?
  7. Is Baron Davis capable of repeating last year’s 82 game performance now that he’s in LA?
  8. Are you willing to gamble that this year may be the year Yao Ming plays 75+ games?
  9. Can coach Mike Dunleavy Sr. keep Marcus Camby away from injury as well as George Karl did back in Denver?
  10. Do you expect Deron Williams to exceed Steve Nash’s fantasy value this season?
  11. Is Danny Granger over hyped coming into this fantasy season?
  12. How is Kevin Martin’s groin? I’m kidding! Don’t check it personally, I think he showed it’s fully healed even before the end of last season.
  13. Does Caron Butler’s history of DNPs bother you enough to rank him lower than his contributions merit?
  14. With Andrew Bynum returning to the Laker lineup, do you foresee Pau Gasol’s stats taking a hit?
  15. Do you see Vince Carter as a good Fantasy contributor now that both Kidd and Rich-Jeff are gone?
  16. How well do you figure Rudy Gay will perform now that Mike Miller’s been traded away?
  17. What do you expect Monta Ellis to do at point for GSW once he recovers from his injury?
  18. Do you expect to see enough of Jose Calderon’s Ford-less games from last year to warrant him a big bump this year?
  19. Will playing alongside LBJ be good or bad for Mo Williams’ stats?
  20. Can Andrew Bynum pick up where he left off from last year’s break out season before his season abruptly ended due to injury?

Bonus: If/When Zach Randolph gets traded away, how much more fantasy impact do figure David Lee will have?

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Who do you like, Baron Davis or Gilbert Arenas?

Posted by Erik on September 8, 2008

You’re in the tail end of the 1st round or somewhere early in the second and you feel like picking up a high scoring PG. Dwyane Wade and Allen Iverson have been picked ahead of you so your left with the choice of picking either B-diddy or Agent Zero. Who would you pick?

Gilbert Arenas was a former 1st round shoe-in, an elite scorer who loved to light it up from beyond the arc. He’s was a point or two shy of averaging 30 PPG through the 04-06 seasons, while averaging at least 2.5 treys and 6 assists a night; factor in 1.95 SPG and you had an elite PG to say the least. Unfortunately, he was sidelined for most of last season due injury. He played injured and his stats took a dive like you wouldn’t believe. In spite of last year’s performance, or lack there of, for that matter; the Washington Wizards signed him to the biggest deal in the NBA over the off season – $111M over 6 years. Is he healthy enough now to return to his old form? He’s had the summer to hopefully recuperate to 100%, but he doesn’t have Dwyane Wade’s Olympic stint to prove that he’s past last season’s injuries. Until training camp actually begins, we still have no clear and definitive picture of Gil’s recovery. He says he’s healthy, but his late season attempted comback only ended in more damage to his body and production. Well he’s coming back to pretty much the same team he left early last season so he shouldn’t have any problems gelling with his old teammates.

Baron Davis, on the other hand, has never really been 1st round material but he ended last season’s performance like monster of a first rounder. He averaged 21.8 PPG, 7.6 APG, 2.3 SPG and 2.1 treys a game, thriving under coach Don Nelson’s up-tempo, run-and-gun offense. Sweet line? Well the stat of all stats for the new Baron of LA is that he played in all 82 games last season, his first above 70 games since his junior NBA year way, way back in the 01-02 season.  He stated before last season started that he was in the best health of his career and his 82 GPs must have been a juicy meal his doubters had to eat along with huge serving of STFU sauce. This former (?) injury-prone PG left the Golden State Warriors and signed with the L.A. Clippers to be its new centerpiece. So it’s a new team, new coach, and a fresh start for Baron to prove that he’s worth the fat contract he signed. He obviously won’t be quarterbacking a small ball offense anymore with Marcus Camby and Chris Kaman (Both Centers) being the 2nd and 3rd best players, respectively, on his new team. He’s definitely got more to prove than Arenas but there are more changed variables in his status. Can his skills, motivation and competitive spirit carry him to another awesome fantasy performance this year?

OK so both of these guys roughly shoot just as terribly from the feild, pretty much in the low 40s. Gil’s got the sweeter FT% at 80+ (8 attempts) vs 75+  (5 attempts), but Baron’s got the better passing ability and playmaking skills – by a margin of at least 2 more dishes a game. They both turn the ball over at least 2.5-3 times a night and look to average arounfd 2 treys and 2 steals an outing. Gil’s the superior scorer and has the overall better health track record, but as I said Baron’s been recently in the BEST health of his career and is in a new team where he can arguably up his PPG to about 24-26 a night.

Hmm…. this is a tough one, isn’t it? I would generally want to stay away from both of these guys from this year’s draft altogether due to that dreaded injury risk hanging over both of their heads. But if there was a gun to my head and I really had to take an early risk on one of these guys on this year’s draft, I guess I would personally have to pick Arenas. I have him edging Baron out ever so slightly based on his superior FT%, the stability of his team, finally his performance and health 2 years running prior to his injury. But that’s my pick, who’s yours?

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