Posted by Erik on January 11, 2009
I recently started cashing in on my investment of taking a gamble on Mike Dunleavy Jr. (G/F) of the Indiana Pacers in my 18-man, head to head league (daily changes setting). He’s looking good, especially after that 22 point performance against the Lakers off the bench. I can foresee him taking back his starting role in the next game or so.
What’s interesting about is that the thing, more like incident, that prompted me to make the move; was seeing Mike get picked up from the wires in my 13-man roto. There aren’t many active managers in that league and I guess a lot of managers didn’t really care to sit on him.
Seeing that pick-up was enough osmosis moxy for me to go ahead and risk a few games lost in the daily changes H2H.
Ironically, shortly after the news broke out (on Yahoo! player news & notes) that Mike was up to 20 minutes of practice, a glitch occurred. For a brief period, the old news of him being “out indefinitely due to tendonitis in his knee”, started to show when you clicked on that little envelope beside his name. It was the old December-ish posting that somehow, for some reason, got re-posted. If you were following the Mike Dunleavy news closely during that time, you know what I mean.
The guy who inspired me pick him, quickly dropped his acquisition for a sadly underwhelming Fransisco Garcia. This was fortuity at it’s finest. I was the most active manager with the best waiver priority. I got to grab Mike for a T.J. Ford I no longer had the patience to wait to be healthy. Yes, he was the least productive guy on my roster. A hopefully healthy Mike Dunleavy is obviously a far superior choice for my G spot (that’s GUARD slot, in case you are thinking of commenting something witty) than Ford any day!
I just find it ironic that someone else’s impatience paid off for me. I’m normally the one who’s impulsive and impatient when it comes to players.
I am fourth in the 13-man roto, trying to break into the “podium zone” and 4th to the last in the 18-man head to head; so I’m really counting on Mike’s last year’s performances to come back and his knee to hold up – because I can use all the help I can get.
Posted in Fantasy Basketball, Rave, Upside | Tagged: Daily Roster Changes, Fransisco Garcia, Indiana Pacers, Mike Dunleavy, TJ Ford | 3 Comments »
Posted by Erik on December 31, 2008
I’ve been really getting a better appreciation of the differences between daily and weekly changes over at my Yahoo! leagues. The fact that you can use the games of your bench guys in a daily roster change setting means that you can’t really afford to sit on injured guys. The leagues that I’m in that are set to daily changes all have max moves set so that people can’t “stream” players to their hearts’ content and so that fantasy teams aren’t managed in a Steve Kerr or Isaiah Thomas kind of way.
There is definitely more tactical combat involved in a daily roster changes league.
In the 10-man, “Battle of the Bloggers” league I’m in, I am around 8th or 9th out of 10 beacause I had to sit on the early season injuries of Deron Williams and Kevin Martin – basically my 2nd and 3rd round picks. Ouch! – yeah tell me about it. I took the hits but am getting ready to comeback and grab some W’s now that Deron and Kevin are getting healthy again.
In the 18-man head to head league that’s also set to daily roster changes where I am 13th, the likes of Gilbert Arenas, Monta Ellis, and Mike Dunleavy are all lounging around in the free agent pool. They’re just waiting for someone to take a gamble on their hopeful return to NBA action. Gil and Monta have both been picked up, kept for sometime, then dropped again as managers have difficulties living with one less effective roster spot on their teams. Watching them sit in the FA pool is like playing a game of “Chicken” with their injuries. Everyone wants to pick them up, but only at exactly the right time. Grab ’em too soon and your team is in for some losing weekly matchups. Wait on them too long and some other, gutsier schmuck will get acquire their fantasy services before you do. It’s a mini-game of balls and nerves.
Who you callin' a Chicken?
I recently caved and grabbed Mike Dunleavy off free agency. I am hoping that he will be up to speed or at least serviceable form in about 2 weeks. The news that he’s practicing for up to 20 minutes and that he’s involved in team scrimmages got the wishful bone in me itching to take a gamble on him. His recent viral infection is a minor setback. I am more concerned about how the rehab on his knees is progressing his eventual return to action. Monta Ellis may be at least 2 more weeks away, but Mike looks like he will have the bigger impact – at least from the perspective of how much his team needs him. The Pacers really want their offense.
So I’m crossing my fingers and locking down the hatches and tightening my belt – you get the point – that my team can sneak some wins here and there as we wait for Mike Dunleavy’s hopefully imminent return.
Speaking of Chicken… a few hours after I grabbed Mike, some other manager panicked and decided to grab Agent Zero as well. Some people just can’t handle the pressure of a game of Chicken, I suppose.
Carlos Boozer is going under the knife to solve his knee problems, but somehow I doubt that we will be seeing him in that particular free agent pool as he was drafted in the late first round; and that puts him on the “cant cut list”. Man, that must really sting for his fantasy owner in that league. Can’t trade him; can’t drop him; and so he’s basically just dead roster weight.
Have a Happy New Year! May 2009 bring a lot less NBA injuries…
Posted in Fantasy Basketball, Injuries | Tagged: Carlos Boozer, Daily Roster Changes, Free Agent Pick Ups, Gilbert Arenas, Indiana Pacers, Mike Dunleavy, Monta Ellis, Weekly Roster Changes | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Erik on December 13, 2008
For most of the season, Jamario Moon has been in sitting in former Raptors’ coach, Sam Mitchell’s bench with pretty much a “Do Not Disturb” sign hanging around his neck. This former starter at small forward had to give up much of his playing time to the more offensive oriented, 7-foot, Italian, Andrea Bargnani. The Raptors’ front court got a bit more crowded this year when they acquired forward/center, Jermaine O’Neal from the Indiana Pacers for point guard T.J. Ford. Someone had to give up some playing time in favor of O’Neal and Sam Mitchell chose to go with an offensive front court and picked Moon to come off the bench. Bargnani put together some impressive performances and pretty much eclipsed Jamario’s fantasy value into weeks of darkness.
Fast forward several games into the season and many losses later… Sam Mitchell is fired by the Raptors and they named Canadian, Jay Triano as the interim head coach of the Canadian NBA franchise.
Last December 10th, coach Triano got his first win as an NBA coach against the Indiana Pacers. Lo and behold who he decided to start at small forward on that day… Jamario Moon. Moon, in a season high 33 mins on the floor contributed a very respectable fantasy output of 17 points (58.3 % FG); grabbed 8 boards; passed the ball once; stole it twice; and swatted it away 3 times; while not committing any basketball related mistakes that statistically translated into turnovers.
Even though Andrea Bargnani has been getting more blocks prior to this game, it may behoove Coach Triano to once again give Moon another crack at a performance to keep his starting stint at small forward for the Raptors. He brings to the court more hustle and defensive intensity than his Italian, playing time rival.
Jamario has never been known for his scoring ability. After all, he only averaged a humble eight and a half points per game over the 78 games he played for the franchise last year. The thing is he brings athleticism and some intangibles; like hustle-defense and a role player’s mindset, every time he’s on the court.
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Posted in Fantasy Basketball, Upside | Tagged: Andrea Bargnani, Chris Bosh, Indiana Pacers, Jamario Moon, Jamario Moon Fantasy, Jamario Moon Put Back, Jay Triano, Jermaine O'Neal, Sam Mitchell, Toronto Raptors | 1 Comment »
Posted by Erik on November 16, 2008
Sorry guys. I know it has been awhile. I’m having a crap of a time trying to juggle blogging and work and home life lately.
It’s really frustrating. I miss blogging… a lot. Hopefully this week will give me some openings to get some extra blog time.
Anyway, I’ve had this one on queue for some time because I wanted enough games to pass in order to accurately claim that these players’ starts are truly underwhelming. As each game rolled on, however, some guys flirted with being on this list while others left it. This isn’t a “Buy Low” kind of list per se. Well it can be if you feel the stars are properly aligned for these guys to bounce back and strong. It’s simply a list of some players that I had expected to play at a certain level but are not quite living up to my expectations. Here we go…
The MATRIX Unplugged
Shawn Marion (Heat) – I suppose it’s finally official; the Matrix is no longer the stud who used to drop numbers all over the stat sheet at an efficient clip that he used to be. Ironically, his health reliability has also taken a hit as well. Based on the 7 games he’s played in, Shawn he has managed to show that he does have some “D” left in him but his boards, points, treys, and gawd-awful FG% have taken hits. His feild goal percentage is a full 8.5 points down, while his FT% is 10.2 points down from the Phoenix Marion we once knew, loved, and drafted early in the first round. He just doesn’t get the same open looks he used to get when Nash was feeding him the ball on the break. It may take some time for him to learn how to work well with Dwyane Wade, but regardless of when and how he jels with the rest of the Miami Heat; he will still end up closer to a 2nd rounder’s value as opposed to a Top 10 pick.
Parallel Peaks and Valleys
Speaking of the team and teammates Shawn Marion left behind, Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire (Suns) aren’t really making the kind of fantasy noise people were expecting them to make out of the gate.
Steve Nash has had a sluggish start so far, putting together a string of sub par games as of late. In the 9 games he’s played to date, Steve’s managed to drop his points (down 4.6 PPG), FG (down 5%), assists (down 3.7). and treys (down 0.8). Is his slump caused by the loss of former coach Mike D’Antoni? Is it his age (34)? Is it a combination of both? Is it global warming? Is it going to get better? For God’s sakes, man! Wake up, Steve!
Amare Stoudemire did start out strong and even got a Monster of a game under his belt. He’s not exactly part of the list. Recently, however, Amare’s been missing the effectiveness and efficiency of his PG’s game and assists. He’s had a string of 3 poor games. Here’s his line for the last 3 games, 13.7 PPG at a horrible 40.4 FG%; 6.7 RPG and 3.7 TOs/G. Let’s hope this is just a slump and that he isn’t truly dependent on Steve Nash’s quality performances.
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Posted in Fantasy Basketball | Tagged: Al Jefferson, Amare Stoudemire, Andre Iguodala, Andre Miller, Buy Low, Dwyane Wade, Elton Brand, Indiana Pacers, Memphis Grizzlies, Miami Heat, Mike Dunleavy, Mike Miller, Minnestoa Timberwolves, Philadelphia 76ers, Phoenix Suns, Poor Performances, Rudy Gay, Samuel Dalembert, Shawn Marion, Steve Nash, Thadeus Young | 6 Comments »
Posted by Erik on September 11, 2008
Battle of Last Season’s Break-out Studs
Who will finish THIS season as the better fantasy pick Danny Granger or Rudy Gay?
Here’s the final installment in the mini-series I ended up doing of “Who’s your pick?” player spotlights.
BD and Gil were the PGs, Boozer and Big Al were the PF/Cs. I decided to round out the G/Fs with a couple of guys who are steadily climbing up the rankings and cheat sheets this Pre-Season: Danny Granger & Rudy Gay. Their stat lines are arguably comparable and the question of who’s got the better outlook for this season is debatable.
Both of these ultra-athletic phenoms are emerging superstars on bad teams. Ok fine, “bad” is a little bit too mean to call the Pacers and Grizzlies. Let’s be a little bit more PC (politically correct) and call them rebuilding franchises instead. Better?
Anyway, I’m digressing here. Both of these multiple category contributors are the cornerstones of each of their team’s “BIG 3” Ok fine, that was a stretch. Neither team has a “Big 3” per se, but a similar set of young players that they will be counting on to produce this season. Let’s call them the Pacers and Grizzlies’ “Mini-3”, shall we?
Pacers: T.J. Ford, Mike Dunleavy, Danny Granger
Grizzlies: Mike Conley, OJ Mayo, Rudy Gay
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Posted in Draft Resource, Fantasy Basketball, Strategy | Tagged: Danny Granger, Draft Strategy, Hot Draft Picks, Indiana Pacers, Memphis Grizzlies, Mike Conley, Mike Dunleavy, Mike Miller, Pau Gasol, Rudy Gay, T.J. For, Zach Randolph | 5 Comments »